Is Ethereum near its 200-week EMA?
Yes. Ethereum is 0.2% below its 200-week EMA ($2,452 against $2,456, 0.0 weekly ATRs below) at the scan of 21 Oct 2026. Long-term downtrend structure: the 50-week EMA is below the 200-week EMA, so the weekly structure is bearish and the 200-week zone does not apply. It has touched the 200-week EMA 4 times since Aug 2021, most recently in Jan 2026; 52 weeks after a touch, price was above the touch level 2 of 3 times, median +17.7%. The 50-week EMA is $2,420 (price +1.3% from it) and the weekly DeMarker is 0.69, neutral.
What the numbers say
The 200-week EMA itself is up 17.8% over two years, a steady long-term rise. Weekly closes have been above the line on 76% of the 269 weeks measured. At its touches the weekly lows went a median 35.5% under the line within 13 weeks, and a weekly close fell below it within four weeks on 3 of 4.
Every touch of the 200-week EMA since Aug 2021
From 269 weeks of weekly bars. A touch is a week whose low reached the 200-week EMA after 13 weeks above it. Each row shows how deep the lows went in the 13 weeks after, whether a weekly close fell below the line within four weeks, and where price closed 13 and 52 weeks later, against the EMA at the touch.
| Touch week | 200W EMA then | Deepest low, 13 wks | Weekly close below | 13 weeks later | 52 weeks later |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | $2,598 | −32.7% | Yes | −10.7% | not yet |
| 3 Feb 2025 | $2,251 | −38.4% | Yes | +11.5% | −7.2% |
| 11 Sep 2023 | $1,552 | −1.9% | No | +41.5% | +49.5% |
| 6 Jun 2022 | $1,489 | −39.8% | Yes | +18.3% | +17.7% |
Source: Yahoo Finance weekly bars, split-adjusted, read by the Trade Desk's Portfolio Builder scan twice a day. EMAs are exponential, as on TradingView. Open the weekly chart on TradingView.
How to read the 200-week zone
The Desk's Portfolio Builder reads three things together: the 50-week EMA above the 200-week, the 200-week EMA rising at least 8% over two years, and price within one weekly ATR of the 200-week line. Ethereum does not meet all three right now: the 50-week EMA is below the 200-week EMA, so the weekly structure is bearish and the 200-week zone does not apply. The weekly DeMarker adds the momentum read: at 0.69 it is neutral now. This is a long-term, no-leverage way of reading a chart, not a signal to act on.
The whole universe, scanned twice a day
The Portfolio Builder in the Desk reads 954 stocks, funds and coins against their 200-week EMA at the London and New York opens. The free section shows the Markets tab and the weekly letters.
Open the free section →FAQ
What is Ethereum's 200-week EMA?
At the scan of 21 Oct 2026 the 200-week EMA was $2,456 and price was $2,452, 0.2% below it.
How many times has Ethereum touched its 200-week EMA?
It has touched the 200-week EMA 4 times since Aug 2021, most recently in Jan 2026; 52 weeks after a touch, price was above the touch level 2 of 3 times, median +17.7%.
Is Ethereum's weekly DeMarker oversold?
The weekly DeMarker (14) is 0.69, which is neutral: below 0.20 reads oversold, above 0.80 overbought, and anything between is neutral.
Is Ethereum in a long-term uptrend?
Long-term downtrend structure: the 50-week EMA is below the 200-week EMA, so the weekly structure is bearish and the 200-week zone does not apply.