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Swing trading statistics: answers from a published record

Five questions swing traders ask, answered from the Desk’s published record (133 closed trades since 14 Nov 2025), with every loser left in. The record stands at +46.2R with a 44% win rate and a profit factor of 1.70. Each page shows the figure, how it was worked out and what it means for your own trading.

By RB Trading · Updated 17 Oct 2026, the record’s last close · Educational analysis, not financial advice
133closed trades
+46.2Rrecord total
44%win rate
+0.35Rper trade

The questions

What win rate does an EMA pullback strategy have?44% on the EMA boardHow long are losing streaks in swing trading?9 in a row, the longestWhat drawdown should a swing trader expect?13.9R, the deepestWhat is a good R-multiple?+0.35R per tradeHow often do swing trades hit their target?27% closed at target

Where the figures come from

Every page here is built from the same two files as the record page: the closed swing trades and the closed long-term holds. Nothing is typed in by hand, so when a trade closes on a Sunday update, every figure on these pages moves with it. Losing trades stay in, at the same prominence as the winners: every loss is published.

Work out your own

Position size calculatorLots, shares or units from your risk and your stop, with live pip values on the crossesRisk per trade calculatorWhat a percentage risks in cash, and what a losing run would cost at itSwap fee calculatorLong and short overnight cost from central bank rates, triple Wednesday includedR-multiple and expectancy calculatorOne trade’s R from its levels, and a set of trades’ expectancyProp firm drawdown calculatorDaily and maximum loss floors, static or trailing, and the trades they leaveLosing streak odds calculatorThe exact chance of a run of losses, from your win rate and trade count

How these figures are worked out

Every number on this page is computed from the record files when the page is built, with the same rules as the record page: closed trades only, R measured from the original stop as (exit − entry) ÷ (entry − stop), long-term holds counted at the R they booked, and trades in the order they closed. A 0R scratch counts as neither a win nor a loss. When a trade closes on a Sunday update, this page moves with it.

This is one published record, not a law of the market. Past results do not predict future ones, and a different method, market or period will give different numbers.

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FAQ

Where do these swing trading statistics come from?

From the Trade Desk’s published record: every trade called for subscribers since 14 Nov 2025 that has closed, winners and losers alike, measured in R from the original stop.

How often are the figures updated?

Whenever the record changes. The pages compute every number from the record files when they are built, so a Sunday close updates them all.

Are these results a promise of future returns?

No. They describe one published record. Past results do not predict future ones, and trading carries a real risk of loss.

Keep readingFree calculators · Swap fees by asset · All guides · The full record